Description

This analysis provides a forecast of COTI prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-27 0.039193 0.045654 0.052759 0.061139 0.070740 0.081383 0.094062
2025-08-03 0.029336 0.037719 0.047787 0.060721 0.076842 0.096215 0.121199
2025-08-10 0.022182 0.031139 0.042767 0.058860 0.080428 0.108189 0.146460
2025-08-17 0.017359 0.026371 0.038915 0.057456 0.083932 0.120095 0.172883
2025-08-24 0.014272 0.023278 0.036618 0.057521 0.089075 0.134457 0.204051
2025-08-31 0.011580 0.020188 0.033698 0.056037 0.091522 0.145005 0.230749
2025-09-07 0.010299 0.019043 0.033483 0.058510 0.100057 0.165252 0.273820
2025-09-14 0.008829 0.017284 0.031950 0.058540 0.104571 0.179609 0.309110
2025-09-21 0.007397 0.015311 0.029710 0.056976 0.106111 0.189169 0.337445
2025-09-28 0.006359 0.013874 0.028169 0.056357 0.109080 0.201225 0.370902
2025-10-05 0.005949 0.013590 0.028704 0.059569 0.119180 0.226390 0.429096
2025-10-12 0.005470 0.013074 0.028699 0.061716 0.127496 0.249108 0.484963
2025-10-19 0.004684 0.011770 0.026958 0.060279 0.128954 0.259785 0.520594
2025-10-26 0.004086 0.010778 0.025714 0.059677 0.131970 0.273654 0.563514
2025-11-02 0.003478 0.009638 0.023967 0.057754 0.132041 0.281831 0.596302
2025-11-09 0.002996 0.008712 0.022548 0.056328 0.132944 0.291665 0.633156
2025-11-16 0.002672 0.008127 0.021826 0.056368 0.136974 0.308138 0.684718
2025-11-23 0.002310 0.007362 0.020543 0.054901 0.137457 0.317248 0.721914
2025-11-30 0.002185 0.007240 0.020854 0.057321 0.147076 0.346622 0.804157
2025-12-07 0.001964 0.006789 0.020237 0.057347 0.151077 0.364139 0.862466
2025-12-14 0.001707 0.006172 0.019077 0.055811 0.151133 0.372879 0.902317
2025-12-21 0.001518 0.005725 0.018312 0.055203 0.153388 0.386770 0.954778
2025-12-28 0.001474 0.005752 0.018903 0.058354 0.165468 0.424427 1.064237